The move everyone expected, finally on paper
OpenAI has confidentially submitted a Form S-1 — the registration statement required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission before a company can sell shares to the public — according to an announcement the company made Monday. The filing follows a nearly identical move by Anthropic, which submitted its own confidential S-1 on June 1st.
A confidential filing, permitted under the JOBS Act for "emerging growth companies," lets a company begin the regulatory review process without immediately disclosing its financials to competitors or the press. The public version of the document typically surfaces 15 days before a roadshow begins. Until then, what OpenAI actually told the SEC stays between OpenAI and the SEC.
What we know, and what we don't
The filing confirms that OpenAI is serious about going public. It does not confirm when, at what valuation, or under what corporate structure.
That last point matters more than it might seem. OpenAI spent much of 2025 executing a complex conversion from a "capped-profit" LLC — a structure it invented to attract investment while nominally preserving its nonprofit mission — to a more conventional for-profit corporation. How that restructuring is reflected in the S-1, and how the nonprofit entity retains (or doesn't retain) meaningful control, will be among the most scrutinized sections of the eventual public filing.
OpenAI was last privately valued at roughly $300 billion in a funding round earlier this year, though private valuations and public-market pricing are different animals. Anthropic's most recent private valuation sat around $61 billion. Neither number should be treated as a prediction of IPO price.
A race with an unclear finish line
The framing of an "IPO race" between OpenAI and Anthropic is irresistible to headline writers, and not entirely wrong — both companies have clear incentives to access public capital markets, and both are watching each other closely. But the race metaphor obscures a meaningful difference in scale, product mix, and investor base.
OpenAI's consumer footprint, through ChatGPT, dwarfs Anthropic's. Anthropic has leaned harder into enterprise and API customers, and has structured deep partnerships with Google and Amazon that will require careful disclosure in its own S-1. The two companies are competing for some of the same enterprise contracts, but they are not identical businesses.
What comes next
Both companies will now go through SEC review, likely involving multiple rounds of comment letters and revisions. Once the SEC declares the registration effective, each company can set a price range, conduct a roadshow, and price the offering. That process typically takes several months from confidential filing to first trade — though it can move faster or slower depending on market conditions and regulatory back-and-forth.
The public S-1, when it arrives, will be the first time outside investors get a structured look at OpenAI's revenue, costs, and risk factors under oath. That document will be worth reading carefully. This filing is not that document.